Predicting Trump's Next 100 Days: Trade Policy, Regulatory Changes, And Executive Orders

Omar Yusuf

5 min read

Post on Apr 29, 2025

4.6

Share

Trade Policy Predictions

A central focus of a hypothetical Trump administration would likely remain its trade policy. The "America First" approach would continue to shape decisions, potentially leading to further trade disputes and renegotiations.

Tariff and Trade War Risks

The risk of escalating trade wars remains significant. Trump's history demonstrates a willingness to impose tariffs, even if it triggers retaliatory measures from other nations.

• Increased tariffs on Chinese goods: Further tariffs on Chinese imports, potentially impacting various sectors, could lead to higher prices for consumers and retaliatory tariffs from China.
• Trade disputes with the European Union: Disagreements over trade imbalances and regulatory issues could lead to increased tariffs on European goods, triggering countermeasures from the EU.
• Impact on global trade: An escalation of trade tensions could negatively impact global economic growth and supply chains. The resulting "trade war" could harm businesses and consumers worldwide. Keywords: trade war, tariffs, import taxes, trade negotiations, bilateral agreements.

Renegotiation of Trade Deals

Renegotiating existing trade agreements would likely continue to be a priority. This could involve revisiting NAFTA (now USMCA) or pushing for significant reforms within the World Trade Organization (WTO).

• NAFTA renegotiation: While USMCA is in place, potential adjustments or disputes regarding its implementation are possible, impacting trade between the US, Canada, and Mexico.
• WTO reform: Efforts to reform the WTO to better reflect “America First” principles might face opposition from other member nations, potentially leading to further trade friction.
• Bilateral trade agreements: A focus on bilateral trade deals, potentially at the expense of multilateral agreements, could reshape global trade relationships. Keywords: NAFTA renegotiation, WTO reform, trade deal outcomes, bilateral trade.

Focus on "America First"

Policies prioritizing domestic industries and job creation would remain central. This approach could lead to protectionist measures aimed at bolstering American manufacturing and employment.

• Subsidies for domestic industries: Increased subsidies and incentives for American manufacturers to encourage domestic production and reduce reliance on imports.
• Protectionist measures: Implementation of stricter import regulations or quotas to protect domestic industries from foreign competition.
• Impact on jobs: While aiming for job creation in domestic industries, protectionist policies might harm other sectors reliant on international trade. Keywords: "America First," protectionism, domestic manufacturing, job creation.

Anticipated Regulatory Changes

Regulatory rollbacks and alterations across various sectors would likely continue under a hypothetical Trump administration.

Environmental Regulations

Significant rollbacks of environmental regulations are possible, potentially weakening climate change initiatives.

• Relaxation of emission standards: Easing emission standards for vehicles and industries could lead to increased pollution and hinder progress towards climate goals.
• Reduced funding for environmental protection agencies: Decreased funding for environmental agencies might hamper their ability to enforce existing regulations and monitor environmental impact.
• Impact on businesses and the environment: Deregulation could benefit some businesses in the short term but could have long-term negative consequences for the environment and public health. Keywords: environmental deregulation, climate change policy, clean energy, emission standards.

Financial Regulations

Changes to Dodd-Frank and other financial regulations are likely, potentially increasing risks within the financial system.

• Easing of banking regulations: Relaxing regulations on banks could lead to increased lending and economic activity but could also increase the risk of financial instability.
• Dodd-Frank repeal or weakening: Partial or complete repeal of the Dodd-Frank Act, designed to prevent future financial crises, could weaken consumer protections and increase systemic risk.
• Impact on financial stability: Deregulation could stimulate short-term economic growth but might increase the vulnerability of the financial system to future crises. Keywords: financial deregulation, Dodd-Frank repeal, banking regulations, financial stability.

Healthcare Regulations

Further changes to the Affordable Care Act (ACA) remain a possibility, impacting healthcare access and costs.

• ACA repeal or replacement: Efforts to fully or partially repeal and replace the ACA could lead to changes in insurance coverage, potentially affecting millions of Americans.
• Impact on healthcare costs and access: Changes to the ACA could lead to higher healthcare costs for some and reduced access to healthcare for others.
• Political ramifications: Healthcare reform remains a highly divisive issue, with potential for significant political backlash depending on the specific changes implemented. Keywords: healthcare reform, ACA repeal, healthcare costs, insurance coverage.

Potential Executive Orders

Executive orders would likely continue to be a key tool for enacting policy changes.

Immigration Policy

New executive orders on immigration, border security, and deportation remain a distinct possibility.

• Increased border security measures: Increased funding and deployment of resources for border security, potentially impacting immigration processes.
• Changes to immigration laws: Executive orders could modify existing immigration laws, affecting asylum seekers and legal immigrants.
• Impact on immigration and national security: Changes to immigration policies could impact national security, economic growth, and social dynamics. Keywords: immigration policy, border security, deportation, executive orders on immigration.

National Security

Executive orders related to national security, defense spending, and foreign policy are highly probable.

• Increased defense spending: Executive orders could allocate greater resources towards national defense, potentially impacting foreign policy and international relations.
• Changes to foreign policy initiatives: Executive orders could alter the approach to foreign policy, impacting alliances and international collaborations.
• Geopolitical implications: Changes to national security policies could have significant geopolitical implications and potentially impact global stability. Keywords: national security, defense spending, foreign policy, executive orders on national security.

Conclusion: Summarizing Predictions and a Call to Action

Predicting Trump's Next 100 Days involves examining his past actions and statements to anticipate future policy directions. We've explored potential shifts in trade policy, focusing on tariff risks, trade deal renegotiations, and the "America First" approach. We also analyzed anticipated regulatory changes, including environmental deregulation, financial reform, and healthcare policy adjustments. Finally, we considered the potential for significant executive orders impacting immigration and national security. These potential actions have significant economic, social, and political consequences for the US and the global community. Stay informed about these critical developments by following reputable news sources and engaging in informed discussions. Subscribe to our newsletter for updates on "Predicting Trump's Next 100 Days" and its unfolding impact.